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Macro View by Scott Minerd - The Consumption of Davos


Europe’s central bank took bold action this week, consuming the conversation at the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting, but will it be enough?

Forbes: Near-Term Risks Could Force Rates Lower


How low can we go on U.S. Treasuries? Europe’s flagging economy is exacerbating the downward pressure on 10-year Treasuries, which even at 1.82 percent easily outpace Germany’s 0.43 percent bund yield as an investment option. This is likely to persist as we begin the process of quantitative easing in Europe. Meanwhile, interest rates also face headwinds from falling energy prices. In the near term, the risk is that interest rates are going lower, not higher.

ETF Trends. Spin-off ETF Spins up Some Changes


The annual rebalance of Guggenheim Spin-off ETF (CSD) removes eight stocks and adds 14 more—paring back its energy exposure. While energy spin-offs are often duds, consumer and health care sectors deliver rewarding spinoffs. 2015 may be a big year for spin-offs, the reallocation to favorable spin-off sectors may make this an ETF to watch.

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